If you’ve been exploring investment strategies, there’s a good chance you’ve come across the "60/40 rule." It’s a classic approach to investing that’s been around for decades. But what exactly does it mean? And more importantly, how does it fit into modern investing, given how much the markets and the economy have changed?
Whether you’re new to investing or trying to refine your portfolio, understanding the 60/40 rule can provide useful insights.
What is the 60/40 Investing Rule?
The 60/40 rule is an investment strategy that splits your portfolio into 60% stocks and 40% bonds. It’s often used as a default "balanced" approach because it aims to provide a mix of growth and safety.
The 60% in stocks is intended to drive growth over the long term. Stocks can be risky and volatile, but they also tend to outpace other investments (like bonds) in terms of returns.
The 40% in bonds acts as a stabilizer. Bonds are generally less risky and provide steadier, albeit lower, returns. They also help cushion the portfolio during market downturns.
The idea is that this blend gives investors exposure to the potential growth of the stock market while reducing overall risk with the steadiness of bonds.
Why is the 60/40 Rule Historically Popular?
The 60/40 rule became popular for a few reasons. Historically, it provided a balance between risk and reward that worked well for many investors.
- Diversification. By holding both stocks and bonds, investors weren’t putting all their eggs in one basket. A diversified portfolio helped weather the unpredictable nature of the stock market.
- Steady Returns. For much of the 20th century, this mix delivered consistent and respectable annual returns, often averaging around 7%-9%, depending on market conditions.
- Simplicity. The rule offered a straightforward approach, making it appealing to everyday investors who didn’t want (or have the time) to actively micromanage their portfolios.
A Real-Life Example of the 60/40 Rule in Action
Imagine you have $100,000 to invest. Following the 60/40 rule, you’d allocate $60,000 to a mix of stocks or stock funds and $40,000 to bonds or bond funds.
When the stock market is thriving, the 60% invested in stocks likely grows faster, contributing more to your overall portfolio gains.
If the stock market slumps, the 40% in bonds can provide stability since bonds often perform better when stocks struggle.
This balance creates a smoother ride for investors, even when the markets are bumpy.
How Does It Work?
The beauty of the 60/40 rule lies in its simplicity. But just like any investment approach, it does require a bit of maintenance.
- Rebalancing. Over time, the ratio of 60/40 can drift depending on how the stock and bond portions perform. For example, if stocks grow faster than bonds, your portfolio may shift to 70/30. To get back to the original mix, you’d need to rebalance by either selling some stocks and buying more bonds or redirecting new investments toward bonds.
- Flexibility. While 60/40 is the default recommendation, some investors tweak the allocation based on their risk tolerance. Younger investors with a longer time horizon might prefer 80/20 or 70/30, while retirees may lean toward 50/50 or 40/60 for more stability.
What Are the Advantages of the 60/40 Rule?
The 60/40 rule has stood the test of time for good reasons.
- Balances Risk and Reward. It’s a middle-ground strategy—not overly aggressive (like an all-stock portfolio) and not too conservative (like an all-bond portfolio).
- Easier Decision-Making. Having a structured allocation takes the guesswork out of where to invest your money.
- Less Volatility. The bond portion helps reduce the overall swings in your portfolio value, which can be especially comforting during times of market uncertainty.
- For decades, this strategy worked well and was often the go-to for investors. But times have changed, leading many to wonder if the 60/40 rule is still as effective.
The Challenges Facing the 60/40 Rule Today
The financial world has shifted significantly in recent years. Here are some factors that make the traditional 60/40 rule less straightforward in today’s economy.
1. Low Bond Yields
Bonds, historically considered the "safe" part of the equation, aren’t providing the same level of returns they did in the past. For years, interest rates have stayed relatively low, which translates to lower bond yields.
What does this mean? The 40% of your portfolio in bonds may no longer offer the same stabilizing effect or income it once did.
2. Market Volatility
The stock market has seen heightened volatility, with frequent ups and downs. This makes the 60% allocated to stocks feel riskier, especially for those close to retirement or with lower risk tolerance.
3. Rising Inflation
Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money over time, and bonds aren’t always great at keeping up. This poses a challenge when part of your portfolio is heavily weighted in bonds.
4. Alternative Investment Options
Today’s investors have access to a wider range of asset classes, from real estate investment trusts (REITs) to commodities to cryptocurrencies. These options weren’t as accessible when the 60/40 rule rose to prominence, but they offer additional opportunities for diversification and growth.
Is 60/40 Still Relevant?
The 60/40 rule isn’t obsolete, but it may require some adjustments to make it work better in the modern investment landscape. Many financial experts now view it as more of a starting point for portfolio construction rather than a one-size-fits-all solution.
Who Might Still Benefit from This Rule?
- Conservative Investors. If you’re looking for a simple, balanced approach and are okay with relatively steady returns, the 60/40 mix can still work.
- Hands-Off Investors. Those who prefer a "set it and forget it" portfolio may also find this strategy attractive, especially when combined with automated rebalancing tools.
Alternatives to Consider
If you’re wondering whether the 60/40 strategy is the right fit, here are some alternative approaches to think about.
- Adding Alternative Investments: Consider diversifying further by incorporating assets like real estate or commodities. For instance, you could adopt a 50/30/20 strategy (50% stocks, 30% bonds, and 20% alternatives) to spread risk across different markets.
- Target-Date Funds: These funds automatically adjust the stock-to-bond ratio depending on your age or target retirement date. They’re a “hands-free” alternative to the 60/40 rule, offering more personalized risk levels.
- Dynamic Allocation: Some investors are moving toward dynamic or tactical allocation strategies, which shift portfolio weights based on market conditions rather than sticking to a fixed rule.
If the traditional 60/40 rule still feels right for you, that’s great! If not, consider exploring alternatives proactively. Either way, the best strategy is one you feel confident sticking with long-term.